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How Will House Prices Develop in 2025?

With 2024 almost behind us, experts are already looking ahead to predictions for 2025. The trends of rising house prices, a shortage in the housing market, and shifting buyer behavior will continue to play a significant role in the coming year. Below, we discuss what drives price increases in 2025, the predictions, and how this might influence your bidding strategy.

What are the expectations for 2025?

The expectations for 2025 point to further increases in house prices, although the extent of the rise varies across forecasts. De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) anticipates moderate growth of 4.1%, driven by the structural housing shortage and low new construction output. Rabobank is less optimistic for first-time buyers, forecasting a significant increase of 10.7% due to limited housing market turnover and high competition. ABN AMRO estimates a 7% rise, primarily fueled by income growth and declining mortgage rates. ING predicts an increase of 5.5%, with a dampening effect from reduced investor activity. Despite variations in forecasts, the message is clear: the tight housing market will continue to drive up prices in 2025.

What causes rising house prices in 2025?

Structural Housing Shortage

The persistent housing shortage is the primary driver of rising house prices. The construction of new homes is progressing slowly, due to high construction costs, strict regulations, and a lack of available building sites. As a result, demand for housing continues to outstrip supply, keeping prices on the rise.

Income Growth and Borrowing Capacity

Households are benefiting from rising incomes, enabling them to borrow more. This increases the purchasing power of homebuyers, leading to higher bids. In urban areas, this effect is amplified due to the high demand for homes in these regions.

Limited Market Turnover

Many homeowners choose to stay in their current homes, often because they see no attractive alternatives. This further restricts the supply of homes for sale and intensifies competition among buyers.

Declining Mortgage Rates

Although mortgage rates rose in 2022 and 2023, experts expect a slight decline in 2025. Lower rates make it more attractive to take out larger loans, further fueling the rise in house prices.

How does this influence your bidding strategy?

In 2025, overbidding will remain the norm, especially in popular regions. Buyers will need to bid strategically to stay competitive while avoiding exceeding their financial limits. Since banks finance a maximum of 100% of a home’s market value, personal savings are often required for overbidding, posing a particular challenge for first-time buyers.
Additionally, the limited housing supply increases the pressure to make quick decisions, making negotiation more difficult.

To tackle these challenges, it is essential to prepare thoroughly. Set a realistic budget and determine how to bid strategically without surpassing your financial boundaries. SlimBieden helps you by providing insights into the optimal bid. Our model calculates a bid that, on average, is closest to the winning amount. This allows you to bid with confidence, remaining financially responsible while staying competitive in a tight market.

 

Enter the address of the property you’re interested in below, and within minutes you’ll receive a detailed report with insights into the optimal bid, the property, the neighborhood, and recently sold homes nearby. These insights help you better understand local price developments and make informed decisions.

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